体育彩票七星彩

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万科年报再传悲观信号,公司对行业前景仍不乐观

第一财经 2020-03-18 10:01:00

万科真的老了吗?

3YUE17RIWAN,WANKE(000002.SZ/02202.HK)FABU“SHOULIANJUJIAO、GONGGUTISHENGJIBENPAN”CELVESHISHIYILAIDESHOUFENYEJIBAOGAO。

NIANBAOXIANSHI,WANKE2019NIANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURU3678.9YIYUAN,GUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUN388.7YIYUAN,FENBIETONGBIZENGZHANG23.59%HE15.10%。WANKEYINGSHOU、JINGLIRUNZENGSUJUNDIYU2018NIAN,QIELIANXULIANGNIANCHUXIANGUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUNTONGBIZENGSUDIYUYINGYESHOURUTONGBIZENGSUDEZHUANGKUANG。ZHEIBEISHICHANGJIEDUZUO“JINGYINGJIXIAOBUJIYUQI”、“WEIPINGHUALIRUNCAIYONGJIJINFEIYONGQUERENFANGSHI”DENG,SHEJIAOPINGTAISHENZHILIANYEGUACHU“WANKEYEJISHIFOUDADAOYUQI”DEDATAOLUN。

ZAI2018NIAN,WANKESHOUDUTICHU“WOMENZHISHAOXUYAOJIANLILIUGEQIANYIJIYEWU,CAINENGZAIZAOYIGEJINTIANDEWANKE。”RUJIN,QIANYIJIYEWUZHONG,WANKERENGZHIYOUFANGDICHANKAIFAYIGE,FANGDICHANJIXIANGGUANYEWUDEYINGYESHOURUZHANBIRENGGAODA95.9%。

体育彩票七星彩ZUOWEIDUOYUANHUAYEWUZHONGZUIQIANGYANDEWANKEWUYE,2019NIANYINGSHOUSHUNLIPOBAIYI。GAIBANKUAIDEZIBENHUAYUNZUO,YIDUBEITOUZIZHESHIZUOWANKEGUJIADELIHAO,DANZAI17RIWANJIANJUXINGDENIANDUYEJIFABUHUISHANG,WANKEDONGSHIHUIZHUXIYULIANGWUQINGDIJISUILETOUZIZHEDEZHEIYIHUANXIANG:“WOMENWUYEZANSHIMEIYOUSHANGSHIJIHUA,HUOZHESHUOZAIXIANGDANGZHANGYIDUANSHIJIANNEIMEIYOUSHANGSHIJIHUA。”

体育彩票七星彩ZAIWANKEDE《ZHIGUDONG》YIWENZHONG,ZHEIJIACHENGLIYIYOUSANSHIDUONIANDEGONGSIRENGJIUYIQIFENGFA,CHENG,“CONGHUANGJINSHIDAIDAOBAIYINSHIDAIDEZHUANBIAN,DAILAILEGENGDUODETIAOZHAN,DANYEJILEWANKETISHENGJINGZHENGWEIDUDEJIHUI。”

DANSHI,YIJINGLIANXUDUONIAN,WANKEDEYEJIWENJIANRENGZAI,JINGXIBUZU,GONGSIZHANLVESHENZHICAIWUCHULIZHONGCHUCHUTOULUCHUJIQIANGDEWEIJIYISHI。QINGXUJIYICHUANDAO,DANGWANKEZAI2018NIANGAOHANDE“HUOXIAQU”YIYUCHENGCHENZHIHOU,WAIJIEBUJINDANYOU,JINGUANRENGJIUSHENCHUZHENGQIANZUIRONGYIDEFANGDICHANXINGYE,WANKEDUONIANLAIBEIGUANZHICI,SHIZHENDELAOQULEME?

体育彩票七星彩18RIZAOPAN,TOUZIZHEMENYONGXINGDONGBIAODALEDUIYUWANKEYEJIDEBUMAN,DAPANGAOKAIHONGPANDEQINGXINGXIA,WANKEDAFUDUDIKAI,BINGKUAISUDIECHAO3GEDIAN,JIEZHIFAGAO,WANKEABAO27.42YUAN,XIADIE2.45%。YIWEIXIAOGUDONGGAOSUDIYICAIJING,SUIRANWANKEDEPBRENGZAIDIWEI,DANTAYIZHUNBEIMAICHUZHEIJIAGONGSI。

体育彩票七星彩RUIXINYEZAI18RIQINGCHENBULEYIDAO,JIANGWANKEAGUPINGJIXIADIAOZHILUOHOUDAPAN,MUBIAOJIA23.80YUAN。

经营绩效略显沉闷

2019NIANNIANCHU,WANKETICHU“SHOULIANJUJIAO、GONGGUTISHENGJIBENPAN”,BINGCHENGZHEISHIBAOZHENGWANKE“HUOXIAQU”DEGUANJIAN。

体育彩票七星彩NIANBAOXIANSHI,WANKE2019NIANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURU3678.9YIYUAN,GUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUN388.7YIYUAN,FENBIETONGBIZENGZHANG23.59%HE15.10%。

体育彩票七星彩ZHEIYIYINGSHOU、JINGLIRUNZENGSUJUNDIYU2018NIAN。WANKEDANGNIANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURU2976.8YIYUAN,GUIMUJINGLIRUN337.7YIYUAN,TONGBIFENBIEZENGZHANG22.6%HE20.4%。

TONGSHI,WANKE2018、2019NIANLIANXUCHUXIANGUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUNTONGBIZENGSUDIYUYINGYESHOURUTONGBIZENGSUDEZHUANGKUANG。

体育彩票七星彩DANWANKEDUOGEHEXINLIRUNZHIBIAOJUNYOUXIAHUA。WANKEFANGDICHANJIXIANGGUANYEWUDEJIESUANMAOLILVWEI27.2%,JIAO2018NIANXIAJIANG2.5GEBAIFENDIAN,QUANMIANTANBODEJINGZICHANSHOUYILVWEI20.7%,JIAO2018NIANXIAJIANG1GEBAIFENDIAN,SHIXIANTOUZISHOUYI49.8YIYUAN,TONGBIJIANSHAO26.6%。

体育彩票七星彩WANKESHOUXIZHIXINGGUAN、ZONGCAIZHUJIUSHENGHUIYINGSHEGONGSIYINGLINENGLIXIAJIANGCHENG,“WOMENSINIANQIANDUIZIJINEIBUDEYAOQIUJIUBUSHIYAOZHONGSHIDANCHUNDEXIAOSHOUGUIMO,ERWOMENGENGQIANGDIAO、GENGZHONGSHIDESHIZHILIANG,WOMENZHAOLEYIGEZHIBIAOHUIKUANLV、HUIKUANSHUIPING,YAOZUODAOYINGSHOUJINSHOU,NENGHUIDEJINKUAIHUI,GAISHANYOUHUAXIANJINLIUDEQINGKUANG”,“ZHENGGEXINGYEMAOLIDEXIAJIANGKENENGSHIZHANGQIDEQUSHI。”

JUTILAIKAN,ZHEIYUWANKEJITICUNHUODIEJIAZHUNBEI、ZIBENHUALIXIFEIYONGQIANZHI、TUDIZENGZHISHUIJITIZENGJIAYOUZHIJIEGUANXI。

体育彩票七星彩JIEZHI2019NIANBAOGAOQIMO,WANKECUNHUOJINEWEI8970.2YIYUAN,JIAO2018NIANDIZENGZHANG19.6%。QIJIYUSHENSHENDESHICHANGCELVE,DUIRENGCUNZAIFENGXIANDEXIANGMUJITICUNHUODIEJIAZHUNBEIWEI29.9YIYUAN。

体育彩票七星彩BENNIANJITIDECUNHUOJIANZHIZHUNBEI,YINGXIANGBENBAOGAOQISHUIHOUJINGLIRUN11.4YIYUAN,YINGXIANGGUISHUYUMUGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUN7.8YIYUAN。

体育彩票七星彩LINGWAIZHIDEGUANZHUDESHI,WANKEZAIFEIYONGCHULISHANG,CAIQULEJIAOWEIJIJIDEQUERENFANGSHI,YESHIGONGSILIRUNZHANXIANBUWANMEIDEYUANYIN。

体育彩票七星彩BAOGAOQINEI,WANKESHIJILIXIZHICHUHEJI139.6YIYUAN,QIZHONGZIBENHUADELIXIHEJI56.9YIYUAN,ZIBENHUALIXIFEIYONGHUALVWEI40.76%。

YOUYUFANGQISHOURUHEJIESUANTONGCHANGCUNZAICUOPEIXIANXIANG,LIXIZIBENHUASHIYOUYIDINGHELIXINGDE,TAQISHIZHISHIJIANGLIRUNQIANZHI,YINWEILIXIZIBENHUAHOUWEILAIJIESUANSHICHENGBENHUIGENGGAO,LIRUNHUIGENGDI。DANXIANGJIAOYUDADUOSHUFANGQIDEZIBENHUALIXIFEIYONGHUALVJIEYU80%SHANGXIA,WANKEDEZIBENHUALIXIFEIYONGHUALVJIAODI。

体育彩票七星彩TONGSHI,YINJIESUANGUIMOZENGJIAJITUDIZENGZHISHUIJITIZENGJIA,WANKESHUIJINJIFUJIATONGBIZENGZHANG41.98%。QIZHONG,TUDIZENGZHISHUIYOU2018NIANDE196.13YIYUANZENGZHANGZHI2019NIANDE295.87YIYUAN,ZAISHUIJINJIFUJIAZHONGZENGZHANGEDUZHONGKAOQIAN。ZHEIYEJINYIBUDAOZHIWANKEGUISHUYUSHANGSHIGONGSIGUDONGDEJINGLIRUNTONGBIZENGSUDIYUYINGYESHOURUTONGBIZENGSU。

体育彩票七星彩DONGSHI、ZHIXINGFUZONGCAIJICAIWUFUZERENWANGWENJINHUIYINGDIYICAIJINGJIZHECHENG,“TUDIZENGZHISHUIGENMAOLISHUIPINGGUAGOUFEICHANGDA,GAOMAOLIDEXIANGMUBIZHONGTEBIEDADESHIHOUCHANSHENGDETUDIZENGZHISHUIJIUTEBIEDUO。”

WEITISHENGGONGSIDUICAIWUFENGXIANDEFANGFANNENGLI,WANKE2019NIANFENLIANGCIWANCHENGZONGEWEI45YIYUANZHUFANGZULINZHUANXIANGZHAIQUANFAXING,FAXINGLILVFENBIEWEI3.65%HE3.55%;WANCHENG5YIYUANCHAODUANQIRONGZIQUANFAXING,FAXINGLILV3.18%;CIWAIHAIWANCHENGDUOCIMEIYUANZHONGQIPIAOJUFAXING,ZUIDIPIAOMIANLILVWEI3.15%。

现金流折射房企融资困境

BURU2020NIAN,KUNRAOFANGQI2019NIANDESHOUYAONANTIRONGZINANSIHUYIDEDAOGAISHAN。YEJIHUISHANGCHENG“GENGQIANGDIAO、GENGZHONGSHIDESHIZHILIANG,ERFEIXIAOSHOUGUIMO”DEWANKEJINRIYEZAIJIJITUIDONGGEXIANGZHAIWURONGZIHUODONG。

RIQIAN,WANKEGONGKAIFAXINGBUCHAOGUORENMINBI90YIYUANGONGSIZHAIQUANYIHUOZHENGJIANHUIHEZHUN,MIANXIANGHEGETOUZIZHEGONGKAIFAXINGGONGSIZHAIQUAN(DIYIQI)(YIXIAJIANCHENG“BENQIZHAIQUAN”)FAXINGGUIMOBUCHAOGUORENMINBI25YIYUANBENQIZHAIQUANFAXINGGONGZUOYIYU2020NIAN3YUE16RIJIESHU,PINZHONGYISHIJIFAXINGGUIMO15YIYUAN,ZUIZHONGPIAOMIANLILVWEI3.02%;PINZHONGERSHIJIFAXINGGUIMO10YIYUAN,ZUIZHONGPIAOMIANLILVWEI3.42%,JUNSHUYUJINNIANDIWEI。

DANSHI,“FANGZHUBUCHAO”ZHUJIDIAOXIA,DICHANXINGYERONGZIQUDAOJIXUSHOUDAOYANGEJIANGUAN,FANGDICHANDAIKUANZENGSUHUILUO。2019NIANMO,QUANGUOZHUYAOJINRONGJIGOUFANGDICHANDAIKUANYUETONGBIZENGZHANG14.8%,ZENGSUJIAOSHANGNIANMOHUILUO5.2%。

ZHUJIUSHENGYETANCHENG,GONGSIBUGANDUIYUJINQIDEQUANQIULIANGHUAKUANSONG,YIJIGUONEIDEJIANGZHUNDENGHUOBIZHENGCE“BAOYOUTAIGAODEYUQI”,YINWEIGUONEIZIJINZHUYAOJIANGYONGYUSHITIJINGJI,GENDICHANGUANXIBUDA。

CONGSHUJUSHANGKAN,JIBIANLONGTOUWANKE,YEQUESHIZAOYULEJIQIYANZHONGDERONGZIKUNJU。ZAIFANGQIZHAIWUZONGLIANGKONGZHIDEZONGTIJIDIAOZHIXIA,WANKEDEZHAIWUZONGERUQIXIAJIANG。JIEZHI2019NIANDI,WANKEYOUXIFUZHAIHEJI2578.5YIYUAN,ZHANZONGZICHANDEBILIWEI14.9%。ER2018NIAN,ZHEILIANGGECAIWUZHIBIAOLUDE2612.1YIYUAN、17.1%。

体育彩票七星彩JUTIDAOXIANJINLIUSHANG,WANKE2019NIANDEXIANJINJIXIANJINDENGJIAWUJINGETONGBIXIAJIANG240.45%。QIZHONG,JINGYINGHUODONGCHANSHENGDEXIANJINLIULIANGJINGE、TOUZIHUODONGCHANSHENGDEXIANJINLIULIANGJINGEFENBIETONGBISHANGSHENG35.90%、57.50%。DANCHOUZIHUODONGCHANSHENGDEXIANJINLIULIANGJINGETONGBIXIAJIANG174.42%,CHENGWEITUOLEIXIANJINLIUDEHEXINYINSU。

SHUJUXIANSHI,2019NIANWANKECHOUZIHUODONGXIANJINLIURUTONGBIXIAJIANG27.12%ZHI1234YI,CHOUZIHUODONGXIANJINLIUCHUTONGBIZENGZHANG25.88%ZHI1567YI,YIZENGYIJIANDEJIANDAOCHA,SHIDEWANKECHOUZIHUODONGCHANSHENGDEXIANJINLIULIANGJINGLIUCHUEDUGAODA333.38YIYUAN。

体育彩票七星彩WULUNSHIZHUDONGSHOUSUO,HAISHIBEIDONGJIANGGANGGAN,WANKEDERONGZIQINGKUANG,HUOXUZHISHIXINGYEMIANSHANGDEYIGESUOYING。JIJIDEXINHAOSHI,JIEZHI2019NIANDI,WANKEJINGFUZHAILV(YOUXIFUZHAIJIANQUHUOBIZIJIN,CHUYIJINGZICHAN)WEI33.9%,ZAIXINGYEZHONGJIXUWEICHIJIAODISHUIPING。

体育彩票七星彩TONGSHI,WANKEZHANGMIANYONGYOUYISHOUWEIJIEZHUANZIYUAN6308YI。DIFUZHAI,GAOCUNLIU,WANKEWEIZIJIJIANGLAIDEYEJISHIFANG,KEWEILIUZULEKONGJIAN。

YULIANGZAIHUIYINGMIANDUIXINGUANFEIYANYIQINGDETURANLAIXIZHIJIYEZAIDUYANSHENDAOQIYEDESHENGCUNZHINAN。TASHUODAO:“YINIANBANZHIQIAN,YEJIUSHI2018NIANQIUTIAN,WANKEQIUJILIHUIDEZHUTISHI‘HUOXIAQU’,ZHEIZAIDANGSHISHICHUYU‘JUANSIWEI’DEKAOLV,RANGWOMENBAOCHIQINGXINGHEJINGTI,DANSHIMEIXIANGDAOZAIJINTIAN,‘HUOXIAQU’BIANCHENGYIGETEBIEZHENSHIDECUNZAI,WOXIWANGMEIGEREN、MEIGEQIYEDOUNENGJIANKANGDEHUOXIAQU,HUODEHAO,HUODEJIU。”

ZHONGZHONGJIXIANGXIANSHIZHE,GAOHU“HUOXIAQU”DEWANKEQUESHISHIZAIZUOZHEZUIHUAIDEDASUAN。

千亿级业务焦虑未解

DICHANZHUYEWAIXUNQIUDIERJIAZHIQUXIANJIHUSHIBUSHAOFANGQIJINNIANTANSUODEMINGTI。ZUOWEIYIJIAYIJIAWEIJIGANQUDONG,ERBUSHIWEIJIQUDONGDEQIYE,WANKEZAIDUOYUANHUAYEWUZHUANXINGFANGMIANDEYISHIYAOJUEXINGDIGENGZAO。

HUISUWANKEDUOYUANHUAYEWUDEDAZHIGUIJI,90NIANDAI,ZAIBIANDIHUANGJINDESHIHOU,WANKEZAOZAODIKAISHILEZHUANYEHUADEZHUANXING。2012NIAN,ZAIWAIJIEPUBIANRENWEIDICHANHAIZAIHUANGJINSHIDAISHI,JIYUBAIYINSHIDAIDEPANDUAN,WANKEQIDONGLE“CHENGSHIPEITAOFUWUSHANG”DEZHANLVEZHUANXING,BINGYU2018NIANSHENGJIWEI“CHENGXIANGJIANSHEYUSHENGHUOFUWUSHANG”。WANKEZAIGONGGUZHUZHAIKAIFAHEWUYEFUWUGUYOUYOUSHIDEJICHUSHANG,XINYEWUKUANGJIAZHUBULAKAI,MUQIANYIYANSHENZHIZULINZHUZHAI、SHANGYEKAIFAHEYUNYING、WULIUCANGCHUFUWU、BINGXUEDUJIADENGLINGYU。

YIWUYEWEILI,ZUOWEIDICHANZHUYEWAIZUIQIANGYANDEYEWUBANKUAI,WANKEWUYEZHENGTIBAOCHIZHEWENZHONGXIANGHAODEFAZHANTAISHI。

JI2018NIANWANKEWUYELUDEYINGSHOUTONGBIZENGZHANG33.0%ZHI97.96YIYUAN,WANKEWUYE2019NIANSHIXIANYINGYESHOURUTONGBIZENGZHANG29.7%ZHI127.0YIYUAN,ZUOSHANGXINGYEYINGSHOUPOBAIYIYUANDETOUBAJIAOYI。XIANGJIAOYUDICHANKAIFAZHUYE2019NIANYINGYESHOURUTONGBIZENGZHANG23.90%ERYAN,WANKEWUYEYINGYESHOURUZENGFUGENGWEIQIANGJING,TONGBIZENGZHANGDA29.65%。

体育彩票七星彩TONGSHI,2020NIAN2YUEFEN,WANKEWUYEQIANGXIANKAIQIGUIMO2WANRENDEZHAOPINJIHUA。ZHEIYELINGWAIJIEKANDAOLEWANKEJINYIBUZHUANGDAWUYEFAZHANBANTUDEYITU。WANKEWUYEWUYISHIWANKEDUOYUANHUAYEWUBANTUZHONGZUIYOUWANGLVXIANTUPODEYEWUBANKUAI。

ZAIWUGUANQIYEKAIQISHANGSHICHAO、《SHANGSHIGONGSIFENCHAISUOSHUZIGONGSIJINGNEISHANGSHISHIDIANRUOGANGUIDING》FABUDENGWUYESHANGSHILIHAOBUDUANDEBEIJINGXIA,WANKEWUYEDESHANGSHIYEBEIRENWEINENGGOUBUFENGAISHANWANKEGUJIABIAOXIAN,DAKAIWANKEGENGDUOCHENGZHANGXINGDEXIANGXIANGKONGJIAN。

ZAINIANDUYEJITUIJIEHUISHANG,YULIANGBUJINMINGQUEFOUDINGLEJINRISHICHANGSHENGCHUANDEWANKEWUYERUGUTIANJIAOWUYE51%GUQUAN,HAIZAIDUZHONGSHEN,“WOMENWUYEZANSHIMEIYOUSHANGSHIJIHUA,HUOZHESHUOZAIXIANGDANGZHANGYIDUANSHIJIANNEIMEIYOUSHANGSHIJIHUA,DANGRENMENBAWANKEWUYEDANGCHENGCHENGSHIFUWUSHANGDESHIHOUWOMENCAIHUIKAOLVRANGTASHANGSHI,ZHEIDIANQINGDAJIANAIXINDENGYIDENG,RANGTAGENGHAODICHENGZHANGYIHOUZAIRANGTASHANGSHI。”

ZAICAISHENGHUO(01778.HK)WEIDAIBIAODEWUGUANQIYEZAI“WUYE+O2O”DEXINWANFAYUELAIYUEQUEFAJINGXIDUDEBEIJINGXIA,YIKAISHIJIUXUANZEZOULINGYITIAOLEISIYUJIJINGUANLIDEGP-LPDELUZIDEWANKEWUYEYOUZHEXUANZEDEYONGQIYEYOUZHEJIANCHIDEDINGLI。

ZAI2018NIAN,WANKESHOUDUTICHU“WOMENZHISHAOXUYAOJIANLILIUGEQIANYIJIYEWU,CAINENGZAIZAOYIGEJINTIANDEWANKE。”RUJIN,QIANYIJIYEWUZHONG,WANKERENGZHIYOUFANGDICHANKAIFAYIGE,FANGDICHANJIXIANGGUANYEWUDEYINGYESHOURUZHANBIRENGGAODA95.9%。

WANKEYUBUSHAOTOUZIZHEYIYANGSHENZHIZHUANXINGBUYI。WANKEZAI2018NIANTICHUGONGGU “JIBENPAN”CELVEZHIJI,JIUYOUYANMING“JIHUBUKENENGZAIZHAODAOXIANGFANGDICHANKAIFAZHEIYANGKEDANJIAYIBAIWANJI、ERQIEKEYIYITUOBIAOZHUNHUAKUAISUFUZHIDESHIYEYEWU”、“BUKENENGZAIYUDAOYIGEYUGUOQUERSHINIANFANGDICHANKAIFAYIYANG,JIHUSUOYOUCANYUZHEDOUNENGZHUANQIAN、DOUHENNANKUIQIANDEHUANGJINSHIDAI”。

ZHEIZHONGXUNZHAOFANGDICHANZHIWAIDEQIANYIJIXINYEWUDEJIAOLVBEIWAIJIERENWEISHIWANKEZHEILIANGNIANZUIDADEJIAOLV,YEBEIRENWEISHIWANKEGUJIANANYIDEDAOTIZHENDEHEXINYINSUZHIYI。

DANDICHANKAIFAZHUYEJINGZHENGZAOYIZHUANWEIZHONGLIANGJIXUANSHOUBANSHOUWAN,SHAOBULIUSHENJIURONGYIZHAOLAIZHIMINGXINGDAJI,YIWUFAZHANSHIJI,KEYISHUODICHANYEWUBUJINZETUI。

JINLIANGSANNIANJIAN,ZAIDICHANZHUYEZHEIGEGAOLIEDUDIRONGCUOSAIDAOSHANG,WULUNSHINIANXIAOSHOUJINE、SHOURU、JINGLIRUNDENGHEXINZHIBIAO,XINGYELINGJUNZHEWANKEDOUCENGHUOZHENGZAIBEIBIGUIYUAN、HENGDAGANCHAO。RUJINYINGSHOU、JINGLIRUNZENGSUDEXIAJIANGZAIDUXIANSHIWANKEXIANGGONGGUJIBENPANBINGBURONGYI。

HUOXU,DANGFANGDICHANXINGYEZHENZHENGDEWEIJIJIANGLIN,CAINENGZHENGMINGWANKEDEZHENGQUE,DANSHI,YIJINGCHIXULESHIJINIANDEDICHANZENGZHANGSHENHUA,HUIZAIHESHIZHONGJIE?

责编:张歆晨

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