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一周市场回顾与展望:降息难阻恐慌,从PMI看疫情影响

第一财经 2020-03-21 11:33:26 听新闻

下周英国央行将召开议息会议,欧元区、德国、法国、英国、美国等主要经济体将公布3月Markit制造业、服务业和综合采购经理人指数PMI初值,这可能是首批直接反映疫情影响的关键数据。

BENZHOUGUOJISHICHANGFENGYUNBIANHUAN,XINGUANFEIYANYIQINGZAIQUANQIUCHIXUKUOSAN,ZIBENSHICHANGKONGHUANGJINYIBUJIAJU,GEJINGJITIZHENGFUJIQUANQIUYANGXINGJIJITUICHUCIJIZHENGCEYINGDUI。

MEIGUSHUAXIN2008NIANJINRONGWEIJIYILAIZUIDAZHOUDIEFU,DAOZHIXIADIE17.31%,NAZHIXIADIE12.64%,BIAOPU500ZHISHUXIADIE14.99%,OUZHOUSANDAGUZHIDIEFUXIANGDUIJIAOXIAO,YINGGUOFUSHI100ZHISHUZHOUDIE3.27%,DEGUODAX 30ZHISHUZHOUDIE3.28%,FAGUOCAC 40ZHISHUZHOUDIE1.69%。

XIAZHOUKANDIANPODUO,SHICHANGYIJIUGUANZHUYIQINGFAZHANQUSHI。OUYUANQU、DEGUO、FAGUO、YINGGUO、MEIGUODENGZHUYAOJINGJITIJIANGGONGBU3YUEMarkitZHIZAOYE、FUWUYEHEZONGHECAIGOUJINGLIRENZHISHUPMICHUZHI,ZHEIKENENGSHISHOUPIZHIJIEFANYINGYIQINGYINGXIANGDEGUANJIANSHUJU,CIQIANGONGBUDE3YUEOUYUANQU、DEGUO3YUEZEWJINGJIJINGQIZHISHUJUNDAFUXIAHUA。CIWAI,YINGGUOYANGXINGLILVJUEYI,MEIGUO2YUENAIYONGPINDINGDAN、XINWUXIAOSHOUYUELVBIAOXIANYEZHIDEGUANZHU。

美联储领衔全球央行宽松潮

体育彩票七星彩BENZHOUMEILIANCHUTUICHUDUOXIANGZHENGCEZHICHIJINGJIWENDINGSHICHANG。15RIMEILIANCHUXUANBUJIANGXI100GEJIDIANZHILINGLILVSHUIPING,XIADIAOJINJIDAIKUANTIEXIANLV125GEJIDIANZHI0.25%,XIADIAOCUNKUANZHUNBEIJINLVJIANGZHILING,BINGTUICHU7000YIMEIYUANDELIANGHUAKUANSONGJIHUA,GULIYINXINGLIYONGQIZIBENHELIUDONGXINGHUANCHONG,XIANGSHOUGUANZHUANGBINGDUYINGXIANGDEJIATINGHEQIYEFAFANGDAIKUAN。

WEIHUANJIEQIYEDUANQIZIJINYALI,17RIMEILIANCHUXUANBUTUICHUSHANGYEPIAOJURONGZIJIZHI(Commercial Paper Funding Facility),YIZHICHIXINDAILIUXIANGXUYAOBANGZHUJIATINGHEQIYE,GAIJIZHIYOUWANGTIGAOQIYEZAIYIQINGQIJIANWEICHIJIUYEHETOUZIDENENGLI。XINZHENGXIAMEILIANCHUJIANGTONGGUOTESHUMUDESHITISPVCONGSHICHANGMAIRUQIYEPIAOJUma,QIZHONGBAOKUODUIQIYERONGZIZHIGUANZHONGYAODEWUDANBAODUANQIDAIKUAN。

体育彩票七星彩18RIMEILIANCHUZAICIDONGYONGQIJINJIQUANLI,XUANBUTUICHUHUOBISHICHANGGONGTONGJIJINLIUDONGXINGGONGJU(MMLF),MEILIANCHUCHENGMMLFJIANGXIEZHUHUOBISHICHANGJIJINMANZUJIATINGHEQITATOUZIZHEDESHUHUIXUQIU,ZENGQIANGZHENGTISHICHANGGONGNENGHEDUIGENGGUANGFANJINGJIDEXINDAIGONGYING。CIWAIMEILIANCHUKUODALEYU9JIAYANGXINGDEHUOBIDUIHUANJIHUA,YUAODALIYA、BAXI、HANGUO、MOXIGE、XINJIAPOHERUIDIANGEZIDACHENGBUCHAOGUO600YIMEIYUANDEXINHUHUANANPAI,YUDANMAI、NUOWEIHEXINXILANGEZIDACHENG300YIMEIYUANDEANPAI。

JIANGXICHENGWEILEGEGUOYANGXINGWENDINGSHICHANGDEZHONGYAOXUANZE,BENZHOUBAOKUOAODALIYA、XINXILAN、YINNI、BAXI、NANFEIDENGYANGXINGXIANHOUXUANBUXIADIAOJIZHUNLILV。CIWAIWEILEWEIHUJINRONGSHICHANGWENDING,OUZHOUYANGXINGTUICHU7500YIOUYUANZICHANGOUMAIJIHUA,DUIXIANGBAOKUOXIANYOUZICHANGOUMAIXIANGMUXIADESUOYOUZICHANLEIBIE,ZICHANGOUMAIJIANGCHIXUDAO2020NIANDI,OUZHOUYANGXINGCHENGYIZUOHAOCHONGFENZHUNBEIBIYAOSHIJINYIBUTIGAOZICHANGOUMAIGUIMO。RIBENYANGXINGZEJIANGNIANDUETFGOUMAIMUBIAOZENGJIAYIBEI,ZONGGUIMODADAO12WANYIRIYUAN。

原油周跌超20%

GUOJIYOUJIABENZHOUJUZHENBINGYIDUDIEZHI2002NIANYILAIXINDI,YIQINGKUOSANHESHATEYUELUOSIDEJIAGEZHANLINGSHICHANGQIANJINGMENGSHANGYINYING。WTIYUANYOUZHULIHEYUESHOUBAO22.53MEIYUAN/TONG,DIE29.0%,DIE29%,CHUANG1991NIANYILAIDEZUIDADANZHOUDIEFU,BULUNTEYUANYOUZHULIHEYUESHOUBAO26.98MEIYUAN/TONG,ZHOUDIE20.3%。

GUOJINENGYUANSHU(IEA)HESHIYOUSHUCHUGUOZUZHI(OUPEIKE)FABULIANHESHENGMINGCHENG,RUOSHICHANGHUANJINGWUFADEDAOGAISHAN,FAZHANZHONGGUOJIADEYOUQISHOURUJINNIANJIANGJIANSHAO50%~85%,CHUANGYU20NIANDIDIAN。ZHEIKENENGCHANSHENG“ZHONGDADESHEHUIJIJINGJIHOUGUO”,TEBIESHIDUIYILIAOHEJIAOYUDENGZHONGYAOLINGYUDEGONGGONGBUMENZHICHU。

体育彩票七星彩YUANDINGYUZHOUSANZAIWEIYENAJUXINGDEOPEC+JISHUHUIYIBEIQUXIAO,SHATEYUELUOSIDUANQINEIDACHENGHEZUODEYUQIJIANGWEN。OPEC+JIANCHANXIEYIJIANGZAIBENYUEMODAOQI,ZHEIYIWEIZHE4YUEQICHANYOUGUOSHENGCHANJIANGBUSHOUDAORENHEXIANZHI。XIAOXIRENSHITOULU,OUPEIKEQITACHENGYUANGUOCENGSHITUZAISHATEHEELUOSIZHIJIANJINXINGDIAOJIE,DANDAOMUQIANWEIZHISIHUYIWUSUOHUO,SHUANGFANGXIANZAIDOUHENNANDACHENGTUOXIE。SHATE17RICHENGJIANGZAIWEILAIJIGEYUENEIBAYUANYOUCHUKOULIANGTISHENGZHI1000WANTONG/RISHUIPINGYISHANG。

MEIGUONENGYUANBUXUANBUJIANGCONGSHICHANGGOUMAI7700WANTONGSHIYOUZUOWEIZHANLVESHIYOUCHUBEI,ZONGJIAZAI30YIMEIYUANZUOYOU。MEIGUOZONGTONGTELANGPUBIAOSHI,ELUOSIYUSHATEZAICHANLIANGYUJIAGESHANGCHANSHENGJINGZHENG,BIYAOSHIMEIGUOJIANGKAOLVJIERUQIZHONGJINXINGGANYU,XUNZHAOJIEJUEBANFA。

IHS MarkitYUJI,CONG2020NIAN2YUEZHI2020NIAN5YUE,QUANQIUMEIYUESHIYOUGONGYINGGUOSHENGLIANGJIEYU400WANTONG/RIZHI1000WANTONG/RI,XIANGDANGYUQUANQIUXUQIUDE4-10%。GAOSHENGZHICHU,JIANYUMUQIANQUANQIUGONGYINGGUOSHENGDEGUIMOHEZHANLVEXINGZHI,MEIGUOGOUMAIYUANYOUYITIANCHONGZHANLVESHIYOUCHUBEIZHIJUBUZUYINIUZHUANYIZHONGRIYIBIANDEGENGJIAKENENGFASHENGDEFENGXIAN,YOUJIAJIANGHUIDIEPOCIQIANZUOCHUDEDIERJIDUZHIDISANJIDUBULUNTEYUANYOUXIANJINCHENGBENDEYUCE,JI30MEIYUAN/TONG。

英镑一度创35年新低

BENZHOUYINGBANG/MEIYUANDIE6.0%,BAO1,1605,PANZHONGYIDUDIEZHI1.14FUJIN,CHUANG1985NIANYILAIZUIDISHUIPING。YINGGUOGUOJIATONGJIJUBIAOSHI,YINGGUOJIEZHIJINNIAN1YUEDISANGEYUEANGUOJILAOGONGZUZHI(ILO)BIAOZHUNJISUANDESHIYELVSHENGZHI3.9%,CIQIANWEI3.8%。YINGGUO2YUESHIYELVSHENGZHI3.5%,CIQIANWEI3.4%。SHUJUEHUADETONGSHI,YINGGUOZHENGMIANLINYURIJUZENGDEGONGGONGWEISHENGFENGXIANHEJINGJIXIAXINGYALI,JIAZHIJIANGXIHEQEDEYUQI,YINGBANGHUILVCHIXUZOUDI。

体育彩票七星彩YINGGUOYANGXING19RIZHAOKAIHUOBIZHENGCEWEIYUANHUITEBIEHUIYI,XUANBUJINJIJIANGXI15GEJIDIANZHI0.1%,BINGKUODAZICHANGOUMAIGUIMO,ZHEISHIYINGGUOYANGXINGBATIANNEIDIERCIJINJIJIANGXI。SHENGMINGCHENG,XINGUANFEIYANYIQINGJIANGDAOZHIJULIEQIEDAGUIMODEJINGJICHONGJI,RENWEIYOUBIYAOJINYIBUTUICHUYILANZICUOSHI。JIANGYINGGUOGUOZHAIHEQIYEZHAICHIYOUGUIMOZENGJIA2000YIYINGBANGZHI6450YIYINGBANG,QIZHONGDABUFENJIANGSHIYINGGUOGUOZHAI。XIAYICIDINGQIZHAOKAIDEYIXIHUIYIJIANGYU3YUE25RIZHAOKAI。

体育彩票七星彩XINRENYINGGUOYANGXINGXINGZHANGBEILIBIAOSHI,SHOUYIQINGYINGXIANG,YINGGUOJINGJIDUANQIJIANGHUICHUXIANYANZHONGSHUAITUI,DANSHIXIANZHANGQIBUHUISUNHAIJINGJISHIZHIGUANZHONGYAODE。ZISHANGZHOUJIANGXIYILAI,YIQINGDUIQIYEDEYINGXIANGYUFAXIANZHU,DUIQIYEDERONGZIZHICHISHIZHONGYAODECUOSHIZHIYI。HUOBIZHENGCEWEIYUANHUIZHENGMIQIEGUANZHUYINGBANG,JIANGZAIXIACIHUOBIZHENGCEWEIYUANHUIHUIYISHANGKAOLVKENENGDAILAIDEYINGXIANG。

YINGGUOCAIZHENGDACHENSUNAKE(Rishi Sunak)CIQIANXUANBU,YINGGUOZHENGFUJIANGWEIQIYETIGONG3300YIYINGBANGDEZHENGFUDAIKUAN,WEIYINGGUOQIYEHEGERENTIGONGBANGZHUYIDUGUONANGUAN。CICIYINGGUOZHENGFUJIANGYITUOYANGXINGWEIDAXINGQIYETIGONGDICHENGBEN、GENGYIHUODEDESHANGYEPIAOJU,QUEBAOQIZIJINLIUDONG。“WOMENJIANGZHICHIJIUYE,ZHICHIQIYE……WOMENHUIBUXIYIQIEDAIJIA。”TASHUO。

MEIYINMEILINYINGGUOJINGJIXUEJIAWUDE(Robert Wood)YUJIYINGGUOYANGXINGKENENGHUIZAIXIACIHUIYISHANGJIXUCAIQUXINGDONG。JIANYU10NIANQIGUOZHAISHOUYILVJIAOXIAXIANGAOCHU20-30GEJIDIAN,ZHENGFUKENENGXUYAOGENGDADECAIZHENGKUOZHANG,XIANZAISHIXINGXINYILUNQEYOUYIDINGYIYI。

下周看点

3YUE23RI(ZHOUYI),DEGUOGONGBU2YUEJINKOUWUJIAZHISHU,OUYUANQUGONGBU3YUEXIAOFEIZHEXINXINZHISHU,MEIGUOGONGBU2YUEZHIJIAGELIANCHUQUANGUOHUODONGZHISHU。

体育彩票七星彩3YUE24RI(ZHOUER),OUYUANQU、DEGUO、FAGUO、YINGGUO、MEIGUOGONGBU3YUEMarkitZHIZAOYE、FUWUYEHEZONGHECAIGOUJINGLIRENZHISHUPMICHUZHI,MEIGUOGONGBU2YUEXINWUXIAOSHOUHE3YUELIQIMENGDEZHIZAOYEZHISHUDENGSHUJU。

体育彩票七星彩3YUE25RI(ZHOUSAN),YINGGUOGONGBU2YUEXIAOFEIZHEWUJIAZHISHUCPI、SHENGCHANZHEWUJIAZHISHUPPI,MEIGUOGONGBU2YUENAIYONGPINDINGDANCHUZHIDENGSHUJU。

3YUE26RI(ZHOUSI),YINGGUOYANGXINGZHAOKAIYIXIHUIYI,MEIGUOGONGBUQUNIANSIJIDUGUONEISHENGCHANZONGZHI(GDP)NIANHUAJILV、GERENXIAOFEIZHICHUPCEWUJIAZHISHUZHONGZHIDENGSHUJU。SHOUMEIGUOGEDITUICHUJINYIBUGELICUOSHIYINGXIANG,LAOGONGBUZUIXINCHUQINGSHIYEJINRENSHUSHUJUYINFAGUANZHU。

3YUE27RI(ZHOUWU),FAGUOGONGBU3YUEXIAOFEIZHEZONGHEXINXINZHISHU,MEIGUOGONGBU2YUEGERENSHOURU、XIAOFEIZHICHUWUJIAZHISHUYUELV,3YUEMIXIEGENDAXUEXIAOFEIZHEXINXINZHISHUZHONGZHIDENGSHUJU。

责编:王蕾

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